Calculating a food and beverage (F&B) guarantee involves a mix of numbers, insight, and a bit of intuition.
A F&B guarantee is the minimum number of meals or servings you commit to paying for, even if fewer people show up.
Many people struggle with estimating these numbers, but getting it right is crucial for controlling costs and keeping your guests satisfied.
In this article, we’ll show you how to accurately calculate your F&B guarantee to stay on budget while meeting your event attendees' needs.
Understanding and Communicating Your F&B Guarantees
Food and Beverage (F&B) is one of the largest expenses in any corporate event budget—sometimes even surpassing production costs.
This holds true whether you’re planning an intimate executive gathering of 25 people or a large conference for 5,000 attendees.
Since you're making a big investment, you need to understand how to accurately calculate F&B guarantees for a successful event.
Why F&B Matters
Food is a universal talking point.
Attendees will discuss what they loved—and what they didn’t—about your menu.
That’s why you have to serve great food and deliver it well. Your F&B decisions can make or break the overall event experience for your attendees.
Communicate With Your Venue
A big part of ensuring your F&B success is maintaining close communication with your venue throughout the planning process. This starts early, especially for larger events.
For example, if you’re planning an event for 75,000 people in September, your venue may need to start placing orders and finalizing menus as early as July.
Early coordination helps prevent issues like running out of ingredients and ensures that everything is in place for a smooth event.
You must be transparent with your venue. Share detailed information about your event’s meal periods, expected attendee numbers, and dietary preferences. This allows you to build a menu tailored to your attendees’ profiles.
Customization and Flexibility
While many banquet menus offer a diverse range of options, it’s important to modify selections based on your audience’s preferences.
If you know certain dishes won’t be well received, work with your venue to create custom menus. This could mean designing unique buffets, plated meals, or even special break items for your guests.
Customization doesn’t stop at the menu. Consider incorporating themed touches that align with your event’s purpose or your company’s brand.
Whether it’s a logo on a cookie or matching the colors of your M&M’s to your brand, these small details can leave a lasting impression. Early communication gives your venue the chance to showcase their creativity and capabilities.
Related: 8 tips for customizing your food & beverage event menu.
How to Estimate Your F&B Guarantees
Let’s dive into how you can accurately estimate your Food and Beverage (F&B) guarantees and stay within budget.
Whether you’re planning a small meeting or a large-scale event across multiple locations, you have to understand the factors that influence your F&B calculations.
Here’s how you can approach this process with confidence.
1. Assessing Event Size and Attendance
The first step in calculating your F&B guarantee is estimating how many people will actually attend your event.
This starts with understanding the overall size of your event and the expected attendance.
You have to collect accurate attendance numbers, which can be done by linking to your event registration system and analyzing room block reservations.
Smart Attendance Estimates
- Look at Room Blocks and Event Registrations: Your room block data and event registrations are your main tools for estimating attendance. Check how many rooms are booked and how many people have registered for the event. This will give you a baseline headcount.
- Consider the Scale of the Event: If you’re managing a large event across multiple locations, break down the overall registrations by each venue or location. This will help you understand how many attendees you can expect at each site.
- Account for a Buffer: It’s smart to subtract a buffer of 5-10% from your total headcount to account for no-shows. Attendees might miss meals for various reasons—like time zone differences, conflicting meetings, or just not being a morning person. For instance, if you expect 1,000 attendees at your conference, you might plan for 900-950 to actually show up for meals.
Related: How online registration platforms keep your conference on track.
Evaluating Venue and Session Data
- Review Content Room Capacities: Check how many seats are available at each location, and determine if attendees have registered for specific sessions. This will help you gauge how many people are likely to be present during meal times.
- Analyze Housing and Rooming Lists: Look at where attendees are staying and how this might impact their participation in meal functions. Are they staying on-site or off-site? This can influence whether they eat at your event or elsewhere.
- Locate Key Activations: Consider the location of your event activations, like the keynote or expo hall, relative to where meals are served. Attendees are more likely to eat on-site if the meals are conveniently located near these high-traffic areas.
Related: How much do event registration platforms cost?
Planning for Unexpected Fluctuations
No matter how precise your estimates are, there will always be last-minute changes.
Attendees may skip meals for many reasons, such as travel delays, meetings, or simply not being hungry.
It’s important to subtract a buffer from the top to account for these variables.
- Adjust for Specific Meal Types: Breakfast and lunch are different beasts. For breakfast, you might guarantee only 60% of your headcount if you know some attendees won’t show up that early. For lunch, you might go up to 85% since it’s a more central meal. There’s always some risk in these decisions, but it’s better to plan for a lower turnout and then pay for some overages if necessary.
- Consider Nearby Outlets: If your event is in a location with plenty of nearby restaurants, like the Gaylord in Washington, D.C., some attendees may opt to eat off-site. This is another reason to adjust your guarantees accordingly, especially for lunch or dinner.
- Plan for the Unexpected: Consider factors like late nights, meetings, and other unpredictable scenarios. For example, if you know attendees might be out late, fewer will likely show up for breakfast. Adjust your guarantees based on what you know about your audience’s behavior.
Tailoring Your F&B Guarantees to Event Type
Different types of events require different approaches to F&B guarantees.
- For example, associations often have attendees who are more likely to take advantage of free meals, so you might guarantee 95% or more of your headcount.
- On the other hand, for corporate events where attendees have expense accounts, you might scale back the guarantees.
- For internal corporate events, it's generally expected that the company will cover all meals. However, at user conferences, this expectation may be less common. When it comes to incentive trips, attendees also expect all meals to be provided, though not necessarily on-site.
Seasonal and Regional Considerations
The time of year and event location can also influence your F&B planning.
- Offering local specialties like clam chowder in Boston or tacos in Austin can enhance the attendee experience, but it also means you’ll need to plan accordingly with your venue to ensure those items are available in sufficient quantities.
Dealing with On-Site Registrations
If your event allows on-site registrations, this adds another layer of complexity.
- For free events, you may need to plan for a higher turnout than the number of pre-registrants suggests.
- In these cases, it’s often better to guarantee closer to 100% of your expected headcount—or even a bit more—to accommodate walk-ins.
2. Analyzing Attendee Demographics and Preferences
The second step to calculating your F&B guarantee is understanding who is attending and what type of event you are hosting.
Are you planning an internal sales kickoff, an incentive trip, or a learning conference?
Knowing the profile of your attendees allows you to tailor the event experience to meet their needs and expectations.
Understanding Your Attendee Profile
The profile of your attendees plays a large role in how you plan your group meals.
Even factors like gender can impact your planning, as men generally tend to eat larger portions than women.
For example, if you’re hosting a conference with a large number of construction workers, serving tea and finger sandwiches may not resonate well with your audience. Instead, they might appreciate heartier options.
On the other hand, if you’re organizing a corporate event for executives, you might opt for a more refined menu with lighter, gourmet options.
Understanding who will be at your event helps you plan meals that are both satisfying and appropriate for the group.
To gain these insights, send out pre-event surveys to gather information about attendee preferences ahead of time.
Related: See sample pre-event survey questions and how to measure success from the insights gathered.
Catering to Dietary Needs
During the registration process, ask attendees if they have any dietary restrictions or special meal requests. This information allows you to plan menus that accommodate everyone so no one feels left out or overlooked.
However, accommodating these needs requires careful planning and accountability.
Check out our article on how to accommodate dietary needs at your next event.
3. Reviewing Historical Data and Trends
Historical data provides valuable insights into your event's typical attendance and consumption patterns.
By analyzing data from previous events, you can gain a better understanding of how many guests usually attend and what they typically consume.
Using Trends to Forecast Demand
Look at past events to identify trends in attendance and menu popularity.
For example, if you notice that certain dishes are consistently more popular, you can adjust your menu planning to feature those items more.
Similarly, if you have data showing that a certain percentage of guests typically skip a meal or only eat light, you can use this to fine-tune your guarantees.
Consulting with Your Catering Team
Your catering team is an invaluable resource when it comes to reviewing historical data and making F&B decisions. They can provide insights based on their experience with similar events.
Be sure to consult with them to get a sense of what worked well in the past and what could be improved.
Look at Historical Data
To make the most of historical data, request final banquet checks, planning spreadsheets, and any other relevant documentation from past events.
This includes comparing estimated guarantees to actual attendance and consumption figures.
Tracking this information year over year helps you build a more accurate picture of your event's needs.
During and Post-Event Data Collection
During the event, you need to monitor actual attendance and consumption closely.
- Many venues use various methods to track these metrics, such as counting plates or using clickers at the door.
- For large events, technology like badge scanning can provide more accurate data, though there’s always potential for human error.
Regardless of the method, capture this data as accurately as you can and review it post-event to adjust your future estimates.
Do Venues Charge for F&B Overages?
If your actual attendance exceeds your F&B guarantee, be prepared for additional charges.
- Venues typically charge for overages, often with a markup.
For example, if your buffet costs $100 per person and 10 extra people show up, you might end up paying $115 per person for those additional guests (15% price increase).
4. Finalizing and Communicating Your Guarantee
The final step in this process is finalizing and communicating your F&B guarantees with your venue.
Here’s how to navigate this process effectively:
The Importance of Clear Communication
Establish a strong partnership with your venue to make managing your F&B guarantees easier. It’s best to start this communication early:
- 60 to 45 Days Out: At this stage, begin discussing your estimated guarantees with the venue. This allows both parties to start planning and adjusting as needed.
- 30 Days Out: Provide your venue with your final estimated guarantees and menu selections. Spend this time ensuring all the details are in place and that your culinary team can start their preparations.
Sending this information well in advance helps your venue manage its preparations and avoids last-minute scrambles.
It's also a good practice to review your contract at this point to ensure there are no stipulations related to F&B selections or guarantees.
Related: Why a strong venue relationship is key to event success.
Negotiating Concessions
Negotiating the F&B minimum can significantly impact your budget. Here’s how to handle it:
- Negotiate the Lowest Minimum: Aim for the lowest F&B minimum to minimize financial risks. For example, if you find that one venue offers a lower F&B minimum than another, use this as leverage in your negotiations.
- Example Scenario: During a site visit, if Hotel A quotes $450 per person and Hotel B quotes $850, you can ask Hotel B to match Hotel A’s rate.
Negotiating may be challenging, but it’s worth it to avoid financial pitfalls. Make sure you have a solid estimate to prevent scrambling on-site if your actual numbers fall short.
Related: Concessions to ask for in your hotel contract.
Handling Last-Minute Changes
Confirm your venue’s final guarantee policies and any associated costs:
- Late Guarantees: Venues may charge higher rates for last-minute changes. For instance, if you request additional meals 24-72 hours before the event, you might face a price increase of 10% to 25%.
- Example: If you initially guaranteed 600 lunches at $70 per person and later increased the number to 700, the cost for the additional lunches might rise 10% or to $77 per person.
It’s important to provide a heads-up to your venue as early as possible, especially for larger events. This helps them prepare and reduces the likelihood of steep rate increases.
Typical Deadlines
Deadlines for guarantees vary by venue and event size:
- Groups Up to 500: Guarantees may be due by noon, three business days before the event.
- Groups of 500-1,000: Guarantees might be required five business days prior.
- Groups Over 1,000: Guarantees could be due seven business days in advance.
These deadlines help venues manage their operations and make sure they have all the necessary ingredients in-house.
Adjust your planning accordingly to meet your venue’s timeline and avoid unnecessary costs.
Conclusion
By planning ahead, maintaining clear communication with your venue, and tailoring your offerings to your audience, you’ll ensure that your event is a success—and that your investment in F&B pays off.
Plan Your Next Corporate Event with GoGather
Need help planning your food and beverage menu or figuring out your F&B guarantees for your next corporate event? Let’s chat about how GoGather can help you plan your best event yet.
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